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Robin Hanson – Review of “Semi-informative priors over AI timelines” Robin Hanson Review of “Semi-informative priors over AI timelines” online

In an ideal math paper, the abstract and intro make clear the assumptions and conclusions. So a reader who trusts the authors to avoid error can ignore the rest of the paper for the purpose of updating their beliefs. In non-ideal math papers, in contrast, readers are forced to dig deep, as key assumptions are scattered throughout the paper.

Robin Hanson, Review of “Semi-informative priors over AI timelines”, December 9, 2020