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Anthony Aguirre How many FLOPS for human-level AGI? online The question asks for predictions about the computational power, in FLOPS, required to replicate human-level intelligence, assuming the existence by 2075 of either a full brain emulation, an AI passing a strong Turing test, or a computer system achieving human intelligence parity. The question’s author intends it as a means of gathering estimates rather than making predictions. The question further specifies that the system’s speed should be comparable to human mental processing, and it sets a resolution criterion of a published estimate accurate to within a factor of five. – AI-generated abstract.

How many FLOPS for human-level AGI?

Anthony Aguirre

Metaculus, March 13, 2019

Abstract

The question asks for predictions about the computational power, in FLOPS, required to replicate human-level intelligence, assuming the existence by 2075 of either a full brain emulation, an AI passing a strong Turing test, or a computer system achieving human intelligence parity. The question’s author intends it as a means of gathering estimates rather than making predictions. The question further specifies that the system’s speed should be comparable to human mental processing, and it sets a resolution criterion of a published estimate accurate to within a factor of five. – AI-generated abstract.

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