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Michael Aird Database of existential risk estimates online This post: Provides a spreadsheet you can use for making your own estimates of existential risks (or of similarly “extreme” outcomes). Announces a database of estimates of existential risk (or similarly extreme outcomes), which I hope can be collaboratively expanded and updated. Discusses why I think this database may be valuable. Discusses some pros and cons of using or making such estimates.

Database of existential risk estimates

Michael Aird

Effective Altruism Forum, April 15, 2020

Abstract

This post: Provides a spreadsheet you can use for making your own estimates of existential risks (or of similarly “extreme” outcomes). Announces a database of estimates of existential risk (or similarly extreme outcomes), which I hope can be collaboratively expanded and updated. Discusses why I think this database may be valuable. Discusses some pros and cons of using or making such estimates.

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