Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
Metaculus, January 13, 2019
Abstract
This work, part of a series of questions exploring the potential causes of global catastrophes, specifically addresses the likelihood of a global catastrophe being caused by the failure of biotechnology or bioengineered organisms. It considers the possibility of a synthetic organism engineered as a biological weapon causing a pandemic if released into the environment, assessing the potential consequences of such an event. The question’s resolution depends on the occurrence of a global catastrophe caused by a bioengineered organism and the overall likelihood of such an event remains uncertain. – AI-generated abstract.
