The meta-Newcomb problem

Abstract

In the Meta-Newcomb problem, a subject is presented with two boxes, one containing $1,000 and the other either nothing or $1,000,000. A predictor has made or will make a decision on whether to put the $1,000,000 in the second box based on whether the subject chooses one or both boxes. A Meta-predictor knows the predictor’s decision-making and informs the subject of a truth functional. The subject’s decision on which box or boxes to choose depends on whether they believe their choice causally influences the content of the second box and whether the predictor has already made their decision. – AI-generated abstract.