Forum participation as a research strategy

Abstract

The article argues that the world is plausible in experiencing an economic growth explosion due to artificial intelligence. It is based on three primary reasons: the historical trend of growth acceleration, the potential of AI to drive growth through an ideas feedback loop, and the prediction of explosive growth when AI is factored into standard growth models. The report considers counterarguments and assigns a probability of at least 10% to explosive growth occurring by 2100 and at least 25% to a scenario of growth stagnation. – AI-generated abstract.