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Bill Drexel and Caleb Withers AI and the evolution of biological national security risks: capabilities, thresholds, and interventions online Report examining how AI may reshape biological security threats to the United States. While acknowledging the seriousness of concerns raised by government and industry leaders about AI-enabled bioweapons, the authors assess that current AI systems’ contribution to bio-risk remains marginal. They identify four capability areas warranting close monitoring and recommend strengthened screening for gene-synthesis providers, regular assessments of foundation models’ bioweapons-relevant capabilities, sustained investment in AI safety research, and consideration of licensing regimes for advanced biological design tools. – AI-generated abstract.

AI and the evolution of biological national security risks: capabilities, thresholds, and interventions

Bill Drexel and Caleb Withers

Center for a New American Security, August 13, 2024

Abstract

Report examining how AI may reshape biological security threats to the United States. While acknowledging the seriousness of concerns raised by government and industry leaders about AI-enabled bioweapons, the authors assess that current AI systems’ contribution to bio-risk remains marginal. They identify four capability areas warranting close monitoring and recommend strengthened screening for gene-synthesis providers, regular assessments of foundation models’ bioweapons-relevant capabilities, sustained investment in AI safety research, and consideration of licensing regimes for advanced biological design tools. – AI-generated abstract.