Announcing the Future Fund’s AI Worldview Prize – Future Fund

Abstract

The Future Fund, a philanthropic organization committed to improving humanity’s long-term prospects, announces a competition offering prizes ranging from $15k to $1.5M for analysis that modifies their fundamental assumptions about the future of artificial intelligence (AI). The three main assumptions are: AI research may be misguided, more focus should be accorded to AI research, or a different research approach should be adopted. Analysis causing large probability changes in the likelihood of AI-driven loss of control or concentration of power, as well as the timeline for advanced AI development, will earn substantial monetary rewards. Smaller prizes will be awarded for significant original analyses, canonical references, and critiques of existing assumptions. The competition seeks to attract valuable knowledge and test whether highly scalable approaches to funding can yield insights that inform grantmaking. In addition, a panel of superforecaster judges will participate to ensure the reasonableness of the evaluations. – AI-generated abstract.