Precision Development (mobile-based agricultural advice)
GiveWell, 2020
Abstract
Precision Agriculture for Development (PAD) provides personalized agricultural advice to farmers in low-income countries via mobile phones, aiming to boost incomes by encouraging adoption of more profitable farming practices. A meta-analysis of three randomized controlled trials suggests that mobile-based agricultural advice leads to a 4% increase in farmers’ yields, although this effect has a wide confidence interval, leaving substantial uncertainty about its generalizability and PAD’s ability to provide sufficient monitoring and evaluation data. While PAD’s programs have a low cost per farmer, we currently estimate their cost-effectiveness to be below the range of programs we typically recommend for funding due to the likely small effect on household income. However, this conclusion relies on numerous uncertain assumptions, and adjustments to these parameters could significantly alter our cost-effectiveness estimate. Despite this, PAD stands out for its transparency, commitment to self-analysis through randomized controlled trials, and potential cost-effectiveness, making it a noteworthy charity worthy of further consideration.
