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Robin Hanson Limits to growth online Sustaining current economic growth rates over the next ten thousand years is physically impossible. Access to all matter within a million light-years would still not support a per capita standard of living many orders of magnitude higher than today’s. The concept of simulating infinitely great living standards via virtual reality is critiqued: it is argued that virtual experiences, while enjoyable, are unlikely to provide such extraordinarily high living standards that people would prefer them over improvements in real-world living standards with high probability. The paper concludes that within the next million years, economic growth rates inevitably must fall below feasible population growth rates. – AI-generated abstract.

Limits to growth

Robin Hanson

Overcoming Bias, September 22, 2009

Abstract

Sustaining current economic growth rates over the next ten thousand years is physically impossible. Access to all matter within a million light-years would still not support a per capita standard of living many orders of magnitude higher than today’s. The concept of simulating infinitely great living standards via virtual reality is critiqued: it is argued that virtual experiences, while enjoyable, are unlikely to provide such extraordinarily high living standards that people would prefer them over improvements in real-world living standards with high probability. The paper concludes that within the next million years, economic growth rates inevitably must fall below feasible population growth rates. – AI-generated abstract.

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