Risk analysis of nuclear deterrence

Abstract

Nuclear deterrence has thus far successfully prevented nuclear war. However, the consequences of failure of nuclear deterrence could be catastrophic. It is thus morally incumbent upon us to evaluate the risk of such a failure and take action to reduce this risk if found to be unacceptably high. The first step would be undertaking several prestigious scientific and engineering studies to estimate this failure rate, then deploying various approaches to reduce risk, ultimately with a goal of creating a world where nuclear weapons are completely non-existent. – AI-generated abstract.