Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof?
Cold Takes, August 17, 2021
Abstract
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. But “transformative AI in the next few decades” is not as extraordinary a claim as one might think.

Cold Takes, August 17, 2021
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. But “transformative AI in the next few decades” is not as extraordinary a claim as one might think.
