Database of prediction markets

Abstract

Conjecture is a new alignment research startup founded by Connor Leahy, Sid Black, and Gabriel Alfour. It aims to scale alignment research by combining conceptual and applied research with hosting independent researchers, focusing on the prosaic alignment problem and embracing the unusual epistemology of the field. The research agenda includes developing new frames for reasoning about large language models, conducting mechanistic interpretability research, exploring the history and philosophy of alignment, and hosting externally funded independent conceptual researchers. The incubator will propose and grow their own research directions in alignment research. – AI-generated abstract.