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William MacAskill and Guive Assadi Beyond existential risk online Bostrom’s Maxipok principle suggests reducing existential risk should be the overwhelming focus for improving humanity’s long-term prospects. But this rests on an implicitly dichotomous view of future value, where most outcomes are either near-worthless or near-best. Against Maxipok, we argue it is possible to substantially influence the long-term future by other channels than reducing existential risk — including how values, institutions, and power distributions become locked in.

Beyond existential risk

William MacAskill and Guive Assadi

Forethought, January 21, 2026

Abstract

Bostrom’s Maxipok principle suggests reducing existential risk should be the overwhelming focus for improving humanity’s long-term prospects. But this rests on an implicitly dichotomous view of future value, where most outcomes are either near-worthless or near-best. Against Maxipok, we argue it is possible to substantially influence the long-term future by other channels than reducing existential risk — including how values, institutions, and power distributions become locked in.

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