22 predictions we made in 2021, and the 13 we got right

Abstract

The article analyzes a set of predictions made by the Future Perfect team about events that would occur in 2021. The authors evaluate their batting average, noting their successes and failures, and providing explanations for their missed predictions. They note that some successes were due to chance, such as correctly forecasting a Democratic victory in the Georgia senate runoff. They also highlight the importance of careful wording in predictions and the difficulties of forecasting the future, even in a relatively predictable field like politics. – AI-generated abstract.