Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

Abstract

The Metaculus forecasting community offers a prediction question regarding the population growth of Próspera, a private charter city in Honduras, and whether it will reach 10,000 residents before 2035. A related question asks about the population in 2035. The community’s current prediction is 20% with a median prediction of 34% and a mean prediction of 50%. Factors such as Próspera’s business-friendly environment, low taxes, unique legal system, and current lack of permanent residents may influence the outcome of this forecast. – AI-generated abstract.