Tetlock wants suggestions for strong AI signposts
March 21, 2016
Abstract
The study proposes the use of Bayesian question clustering to answer complex and challenging questions with binary yes-or-no answers. This approach enables the breakdown of a complex question into many small ones, effectively pinpointing an answer to the bigger question. The answers to the smaller questions provide cumulative insights that approximate the answer to the overall question. By examining tiny but pertinent questions related to an event or situation, patterns are gradually formed, yielding insights otherwise difficult to obtain. – AI-generated abstract.
