Carl Shulman (Pt 2) - AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far Future
June 26, 2023
Abstract
The second half of my 7 hour conversation with Carl Shulman is out!
My favorite part! And the one that had the biggest impact on my worldview.
Here, Carl lays out how an AI takeover might happen:
AI can threaten mutually assured destruction from bioweapons,
use cyber attacks to take over physical infrastructure,
build mechanical armies,
spread seed AIs we can never exterminate,
offer tech and other advantages to collaborating countries, etc
Plus we talk about a whole bunch of weird and interesting topics which Carl has thought about:
what is the far future best case scenario for humanity
what it would look like to have AI make thousands of years of intellectual progress in a month
how do we detect deception in superhuman models
does space warfare favor defense or offense
is a Malthusian state inevitable in the long run
why markets haven’t priced in explosive economic growth
& much more
Carl also explains how he developed such a rigorous, thoughtful, and interdisciplinary model of the biggest problems in the world.