Chloramphenicol as intervention in heart attacks
Effective Altruism Forum, February 16, 2020
Abstract
If the claims of this post are true, this could be an interesting target of EA effort and funding. Assuming the $25 million figure for approval is true, guessing at a $5 million cost for additional overhead for the life of the project, and estimating an average of 20 counterfactual additional QALYs generated per application of the therapy, that’s $30 mm / (400k * 20) = $3.75 per QALY (assuming only applied for one year; cheaper per each year the intervention is used). Valuing a QALY at $50,000, that’s a discount of 99.9925% per QALY and a payback period of approximately 600 patients.
