Reframing Superintelligence: Comprehensive Ai Services as General Intelligence
LessWrong, January 8, 2019
Abstract
Comprehensive AI Services (CAIS) is an alternative model of artificial general intelligence (AGI) development. The CAIS model suggests that superintelligence will arise not through the creation of a single, monolithic AGI agent, but through the development of a vast collection of increasingly powerful and specialized AI services. These services would be optimized for specific, bounded tasks, such as language translation or medical diagnosis. With time, the process of AI research and development would itself be automated, leading to a recursive technological improvement. This would result in an intelligence explosion that surpasses human capabilities, even before the emergence of a single, general-purpose AGI agent. As each service optimizes for a specific task, it is unlikely to exhibit the same kinds of goal-directed behavior and convergent instrumental subgoals that are often seen as dangerous in AGI agents. This, combined with the potential for transparency and interpretability, makes CAIS a potentially safer path towards superintelligence. However, the CAIS model faces challenges, such as the potential for individual services to be misaligned with human values and the difficulty of predicting how such a complex system might evolve. – AI-generated abstract.
