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Maxwell Tabarrok Enlightenment values in a vulnerable world online The Vulnerable World Hypothesis (VWH) suggests that continued technological development increases the risk of civilizational destruction. The author of this article examines the implications of the VWH for Enlightenment values. He finds that if the VWH is false, Enlightenment values are strengthened, while if the VWH is true, they are not necessarily rejected. The author analyzes various interpretations of the VWH and models it with an urn metaphor. He argues that technological progress, both wide and fast, can decrease the risk of drawing a “black ball” technology. He also explores the implications of a global surveillance state, suggesting that it may not only fail to reduce existential risk but may also increase it. The author concludes that while technological existential risk is a valid concern, a global surveillance state is not an appropriate response. He emphasizes the need for caution in overriding Enlightenment values and advocates for a more nuanced approach to managing technological risks. – AI-generated abstract.

Enlightenment values in a vulnerable world

Maxwell Tabarrok

Effective Altruism Forum, July 18, 2022

Abstract

The Vulnerable World Hypothesis (VWH) suggests that continued technological development increases the risk of civilizational destruction. The author of this article examines the implications of the VWH for Enlightenment values. He finds that if the VWH is false, Enlightenment values are strengthened, while if the VWH is true, they are not necessarily rejected. The author analyzes various interpretations of the VWH and models it with an urn metaphor. He argues that technological progress, both wide and fast, can decrease the risk of drawing a “black ball” technology. He also explores the implications of a global surveillance state, suggesting that it may not only fail to reduce existential risk but may also increase it. The author concludes that while technological existential risk is a valid concern, a global surveillance state is not an appropriate response. He emphasizes the need for caution in overriding Enlightenment values and advocates for a more nuanced approach to managing technological risks. – AI-generated abstract.

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