Doomsday: Friday, 13 november, A.D. 2026
Science, vol. 132, no. 3436, 1960, pp. 1291–1295
Abstract
This study observes that, in the absence of environmental hazards, competition for limited food supply, or the abundance of predators or prey, biological populations where all elements thrive in a hypothetical paradise are completely determined by their fertility and mortality. The authors suggest that environmental factors can be accounted for by hypothesizing that productivity is a monotonic decreasing function of population size, which agrees with historical human population growth data. However, the authors posit that the productivity of populations comprised of elements that can communicate may be a monotonic increasing function of population, since increased population leads to more versatile and effective coalitions that can mitigate environmental risks and improve living conditions. They propose a mathematical model that supports this hypothesis, using human population data as a test case and obtaining estimations for key model parameters. Based on their model, the authors conclude that the human population is projected to approach infinity in the year 2027, expressing the hope that this alarming prediction will encourage the adoption of population control measures. – AI-generated abstract.
