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Robert Wiblin and Keiran Harris Chris Blattman on the five reasons wars happen online Chris Blattman argues that social scientists have generated five cogent models of when war can be ‘rational’ for both sides of a conflict: Unchecked interests — such as national leaders who bear few of the costs of launching a war. Intangible incentives — such as an intrinsic desire for revenge. Uncertainty — such as both sides underestimating each other’s resolve to fight. Commitment problems — such as the inability to credibly promise not to use your growing military might to attack others in future. Misperceptions — such as our inability to see the world through other people’s eyes.

Chris Blattman on the five reasons wars happen

Robert Wiblin and Keiran Harris

80,000 Hours, April 28, 2022

Abstract

Chris Blattman argues that social scientists have generated five cogent models of when war can be ‘rational’ for both sides of a conflict:

Unchecked interests — such as national leaders who bear few of the costs of launching a war. Intangible incentives — such as an intrinsic desire for revenge. Uncertainty — such as both sides underestimating each other’s resolve to fight. Commitment problems — such as the inability to credibly promise not to use your growing military might to attack others in future. Misperceptions — such as our inability to see the world through other people’s eyes.

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